Driverless car adoption set to take off, 20m expected on roads by 2025
Think there's no mileage in autonomous vehicles? A study by Juniper Research could force you to think again, says Automotive Online.
According to the research firm the sector is about to take off, with an estimated 20 million self-driving cars on the road by 2025.
Consumer adoption of the vehicles will begin in 2021 – although even 20 million self-driving vehicles will represent just 1% of all vehicles.
The most promising players – rated by live trials; miles tested on the road; technology development; project scale and scope; and future potential and market opportunities – include Google, Volvo, Daimler, Tesla and Apple.
Drivers are already gearing up for the "psychological change" that stems from moving from the role of car driver to operating a driverless car, thanks to Advanced Driving Assistance Systems (ADAS) such as adaptive cruise control and automated braking, says Juniper.
"Driven by increased safety and convenience for drivers, development has progressed to live trials with North America and West Europe set to become the first to witness driverless cars in use on the road," a spokesman for Juniper Research commented.
He added: "Stakeholders are currently investigating multiple business models with manufacturers expected to engage in product licensing, self-production or open sourcing the systems."
However, before driverless technologies become mainstream, there's work to be done. Stakeholders must collaborate to ensure autonomous driving systems offer users a minimum level of safety, says Juniper.
There have already been questions raised about the systems' decision-making capabilities, for instance, how autonomous vehicles would make decisions when presented with the 'Trolley Problem' – where the autonomous car is forced to choose between two disastrous outcomes.